Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020672 0.022346 0.024091 0.026047 0.028179 0.030435 0.033004
2025-09-21 0.017648 0.020029 0.022646 0.025741 0.029309 0.033302 0.038119
2025-09-28 0.015880 0.018683 0.021889 0.025837 0.030585 0.036130 0.043126
2025-10-05 0.014474 0.017529 0.021136 0.025725 0.031437 0.038349 0.047397
2025-10-12 0.013465 0.016716 0.020660 0.025823 0.032445 0.040708 0.051883
2025-10-19 0.012626 0.016021 0.020240 0.025905 0.033367 0.042939 0.056271
2025-10-26 0.011839 0.015320 0.019738 0.025808 0.033999 0.044775 0.060192
2025-11-02 0.011199 0.014753 0.019358 0.025817 0.034733 0.046739 0.064356
2025-11-09 0.010484 0.014038 0.018726 0.025427 0.034869 0.047861 0.067371
2025-11-16 0.009813 0.013337 0.018064 0.024942 0.034820 0.048688 0.069969
2025-11-23 0.009320 0.012851 0.017663 0.024786 0.035208 0.050126 0.073511
2025-11-30 0.008871 0.012400 0.017282 0.024627 0.035563 0.051513 0.077029
2025-12-07 0.008439 0.011965 0.016922 0.024506 0.036013 0.053129 0.081110
2025-12-14 0.007984 0.011475 0.016458 0.024210 0.036184 0.054339 0.084651
2025-12-21 0.007674 0.011180 0.016262 0.024298 0.036935 0.056469 0.089785
2025-12-28 0.007337 0.010827 0.015956 0.024193 0.037369 0.058109 0.094204
2026-01-04 0.007077 0.010574 0.015786 0.024285 0.038108 0.060265 0.099607
2026-01-11 0.006833 0.010331 0.015616 0.024361 0.038818 0.062399 0.105097
2026-01-18 0.006565 0.010038 0.015354 0.024270 0.039240 0.064066 0.109867
2026-01-25 0.006338 0.009799 0.015161 0.024279 0.039820 0.066020 0.115261
2026-02-01 0.006044 0.009438 0.014757 0.023914 0.039741 0.066827 0.118608
2026-02-08 0.005750 0.009065 0.014315 0.023461 0.039479 0.067291 0.121334
2026-02-15 0.005538 0.008814 0.014062 0.023316 0.039742 0.068691 0.125901